How hard the plants run.
Export pace compared with each terminal's nameplate capacity, how fast each one ramped up, and whether hot weather lowers output.
How close does each terminal run to nameplate capacity?
Limits. Nameplate is the vendor-guaranteed minimum; Venture Global states its plants can produce more under good conditions, and sells that excess separately. Above 100% is therefore expected, not an error. The dashed lines show the FERC/DOE authorized capacity.
How fast did each terminal ramp up?
Limits. Three-month rolling average. Commissioning cargoes are included because they are real output; commercial operation (COD) is a contractual milestone, not the start of production.
Does hot weather reduce output at Calcasieu Pass?
Method. Monthly export pace (Bcf/d) regressed on mean air temperature at the site, with a linear trend and a shift after commercial operation, from October 2022 (ramp-up complete). Standard errors allow for autocorrelation (Newey–West, 3 lags). Limits. Planned maintenance is often scheduled in mild seasons and hurricanes arrive in summer, so the estimate can absorb other seasonal effects; the second row drops months with detected low-output windows to check this. Plaquemines is still ramping up, which would swamp any weather signal, so it is not estimated.